Holdy Labs

Why Are My Losses Bigger Than My Wins?

Measure your average win and loss, and see the win rate they require.

Measure My Win and Loss Size

Plenty of traders win more often than they lose and still end up down. The reason is almost always the same: when you win you take a little, and when you lose you give back a lot. The win rate looks healthy, the account does not, and it is easy to blame bad luck.

Bigger losses than wins usually come from a few habits. Taking profit early because a gain feels fragile. Holding a losing trade past the stop because closing it makes the loss real. Moving or removing a stop. Adding to a position that is already losing. Each is understandable in the moment, and together they shape your averages.

The arithmetic is unforgiving. If your average loss is twice your average win, you need to win more than two trades in three just to break even. Make the average loss match the average win and a 50% win rate is enough. That is why the relationship between the two sizes often matters more than the win rate itself.

You can work out your break-even win rate with the break-even win rate calculator. To see your real numbers, across every trade you have taken, use the analyzer below.

Drop your trade history CSV here

Closed positions or P&L history from your exchange. Up to 5 MB.

Your file is read in memory and is never saved — only the result of the analysis is kept (7 days, or until you delete it if you save it to your account). Don't include passwords or API keys. See the Privacy Policy.

Example — not your data

Example result

Average win

+8.90

Average loss

2.8× the average win

−25.15

Win rate needed to break even

74%

Actual win rate

A 24-point gap

50%

Illustrative numbers for a made-up account, shown so you know what a result looks like. They are not your data and not a benchmark.

What the analysis shows

Your average win and average loss

Calculated from every winning and every losing trade in your file.

The break-even win rate

The win rate those two averages require, set beside the win rate you actually have.

Whether a few trades dominate

If a small number of trades account for most of your total loss, the averages hide that.

Whether losses grow after losses

Looks at your results after losing streaks, where loss size often drifts upward.

Frequently asked questions

What is a good ratio of average win to average loss?

There is no universal ratio. It depends on your win rate: a strategy that wins often can work with smaller wins, and one that wins rarely needs large ones. Use the break-even calculation to see what your own win rate requires, then compare it with your real numbers.

Should I just use a tighter stop-loss?

A tighter stop lowers the size of each loss but usually makes you stop out more often, so the win rate can fall. The break-even calculation shows the trade-off. It does not tell you which setting is right for your strategy.

Why do I cut winners early and let losers run?

It is a well-documented human tendency: a gain feels worth locking in, and a loss feels worth waiting out. The loss aversion article explains it and lists the sources.

Which file should I upload?

A CSV where each row is one finished trade with its result: your exchange's closed positions or profit-and-loss history. It needs a close time and a result, or entry price, exit price, quantity and side. A list of individual order fills is not enough, because fills cannot be paired into trades without guessing.

Is my trade history stored?

The file is read in memory and is not saved. Only the result of the analysis is kept: for 7 days if you do not sign in, or until you delete it if you save it to your account. The analyzer never asks for exchange passwords or API keys.

Keep going

Holdy Lab content is educational and is not financial advice. Results describe the data you provide; they do not predict future results.